India’s R-value, which indicates the rate of coronavirus spread has dropped to 1.57 in the week of January 14-21and the national peak of the third wave of the infection is expected to come in the next fortnight, according to a preliminary analysis by IIT Madras.
The R-value indicates how many people a single infected person can infect. If this value falls below 1, a pandemic is considered to be over.
According to the analysis shared by IIT Madras with PTI, the R-value was recorded at 1.57 between January 14 and January 21. The number was recorded at 2.2 in the week of January 7-13 while it was 4 from January 1-6 and 2.9 from December 25 31. The preliminary analysis was done by computational modeling by IIT Madras Department of Mathematics and Centre of Excellence for Computational Mathematics and Data Science headed by Prof Neelesh S Upadhye and Prof S Sundar.
According to the data, the R-value of Mumbai was 0.67, Delhi 0.98, Chennai 1.2 and Kolkata 0.56.