The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has forecast heavy rain in Gujarat, Rajasthan, and Madhya Pradesh over the next two days, with rain expected to resume in north India after July 28.
According to IMD officials, a low-pressure area is lying over southwest Rajasthan and neighbourhood and its associated cyclonic circulation is extending up to mid-tropospheric levels.
According to IMD officials, the trough is likely to persist in the same location during next 2-3 days and then shift northwards towards its normal position from July 27, for the subsequent 3-4 days. A cyclonic circulation is also lying over southeast Madhya Pradesh and neighbourhood in lower and middle tropospheric levels.
“Due to the monsoon trough shifting southwards, there will be a reduction in rain over northern parts but an increase in rainfall over central India. Again, after July 28 when the trough shifts to its normal position rainfall will resume over northern states,” explained RK Jenamani, senior scientist at national weather forecasting centre, IMD.
IMD’s extended range forecast shows a significant reduction in rainfall over north and central India from August 5 to August 18.
According to the IMD, widespread light to moderate rainfall with isolated heavy rainfall, thunderstorm and lightning is expected over Gujarat, Rajasthan and West Madhya Pradesh from July 24 to 26; over north Konkan and adjoining ghat areas of Madhya Maharashtra, East Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh, Odisha, Coastal Andhra Pradesh and Telangana during July 24-25.
Isolated extremely heavy rainfall is also likely over Gujarat and southeast Madhya Pradesh on Sunday. Isolated very heavy rain is likely over Gujarat and West Madhya Pradesh on July 25; East Rajasthan on July 24 and 25; West Rajasthan on July 24, over Vidarbha, north Konkan and adjoining ghat areas of Madhya Maharashtra on July 24.